Most golf fans would agree that there is no tournament quite like The Masters, with the iconic Augusta National maintaining its rightful place as one of the greatest golf courses on the planet. While their aren’t many tracks that can compare to the iconic host venue, there are some venues that require a very similar skillset.
When trying to predict the winner of the Green Jacket from such a strong Masters field, it can pay to go down a few statistical rabbit holes – and correlating course form is a great place to start.
In this article, Golf Monthly’s Barry Plummer attempts to use the data to predict who could win The Masters this year…
Augusta National Correlating Courses
According to DataGolf, some of the most iconic venues on the PGA Tour have strong links to Augusta National.
The most correlated is The Plantation Course at Kapalua, host venue of the opening event of the calendar year, The Sentry. Similar attributes for success are required at the Hawaiian venue, with a premium on driving distance and around the green prowess.
Seven of the last ten winners at Kapalua have either won The Masters or finished runner-up, so the form link here appears to be very strong.
(Image credit: Getty Images)
Another particularly strong correlation comes from Riviera Country Club, host of the Genesis Invitational, with seven of the last nine winners of the event also owning a Green Jacket.
In 2023, Jon Rahm won the Genesis Invitiational in mid-February before securing a first Green Jacket just six weeks later.
Hideki Matsuyama will be looking to follow in his footsteps this year, and secure a second Masters win after storming to victory at Riviera earlier this season. The track, similar to Kapalua, also requires distance off the tee and a creative short game to put a score together.
(Image credit: Getty Images)
Who Does The Correlating Course Form Suggest Could Win?
Looking back at the most recent leaderboard for both events, it appears that it could be Xander Schauffele‘s year. The current Olympic Champion finished T10 at Kapalua in January, before a T4 finish at Riviera where he will be disappointed not to have won.
Four top-5 finishes in his last seven events, and two top-3 finishes at Augusta National in his career suggest he is primed for a good performance. With a Major Championship…
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